With a third of the U.S. Senate up for reelection and 36 states holding gubernatorial contests, there’s a lot to keep track of. This guide from Ed_Kilgore will help.
The primaries get into full swing in May, with 11 states holding elections to nominate candidates for November. The 2022 midterms will determine whether Democrats retain or lose their fragile control over the U.S. Senate and House, along with the balance of power in many states holding legislative and gubernatorial contests. Typically the president’s party loses ground in midterms, particularly if he’s as unpopular as Joe Biden and the economy is troubled.
The Republican Primary: Senator Pat Toomey’s retirement sparked a highly competitive, multi-candidate GOP primary to succeed him. Trump upended the race when he endorsed Mehmet Oz. The TV doctor has been battling former hedge-fund executive David McCormick, with each man accusing the other of ideological heresy and affection for China.
The Democratic Primary: The Democratic field has been dominated by former state Supreme Court chief justice Cheri Beasley. She’s been a strong fundraiser, and has gained national visibility in her effort to become just the third Black woman ever to serve in the U.S. Senate. The General Election: Less than two years after winning a special-election runoff to help Democrats flip two Georgia Senate seats and seize control of the chamber, Senator Raphael Warnock is running for a full term. He’s been raising money at an epic clip, and he’ll likely need it. The race will be one of the most-watched in the country given Georgia’s emergence as a national battleground state.
The General Election: Colorado is a fairly solid blue state, but Senator Michael Bennet, a failed presidential candidate who has never topped 50 percent in two prior elections, could be vulnerable. Bennet remains the favorite, but if the GOP wave is large, look out.Oklahoma: A primary so nice Republicans are doing it twice. Scott Pruitt. Photo: Kevin Dietsch/UPI/Shutterstock Primary Date: June 28
The General Election: Freshman senator Mark Kelly is another Democratic incumbent who’s vulnerable because he’s running in a highly competitive state in a good year for Republicans. The astronaut-turned-senator has been quietly building a big fundraising haul while Republicans battle to see who will take him on.Missouri: Greitens gives Republicans grief. Eric Greitens.
The Republican Primary: Two-term incumbent Senator Ron Johnson is a conspiracy theory-spouting conservative who seems perpetually in political trouble. But he has twice exceeded expectations in a state that has been trending conservative since 2010. The General Election: After 2020, the conventional wisdom held that Florida had tipped from purple to red thanks to Democratic losses among Hispanic voters and superior GOP campaign tactics. Demings may be the strongest possible Rubio opponent, but polls show the incumbent with a solid and steady lead in the high single digits. Given 2022’s pro-Republican dynamics, his seat should be safe.New Hampshire: Did Hassan dodge a bullet? Maggie Hassan.
The Democratic Primary: This is a close race between two former mayors: John Cranley of Cincinnati and Nan Whaley of Dayton. Both are candidates with significant appeal, but Ohio’s increasingly Republican bent will be tough to overcome in a GOP-favoring midterm.Nebraska: Nasty allegations blow up the GOP race. Charles Herbster.
The Republican Primary: Republicans have an equally large field with no real powerhouses; in a recent poll, 2016 gubernatorial nominee Bud Pierce was the only candidate in double digits. The Republican Primary: While Democrats have already united behind state Attorney General Josh Shapiro, Republicans have a large field of rivals jostling for attention. The two leaders in nearly every poll have been former congressman Lou Barletta and State Senator Doug Mastriano, who became famous for promoting Trumpy conspiracy theories. The former president hasn’t indicated his favored candidate, but has gone out of his way to diss a third gubernatorial aspirant, former U.S.
The Republican Primary: Democratic governor Steve Sisolak is running for reelection, and a large field of Republican challengers has formed anticipating a GOP sweep in the state this November, thanks to grim economic conditions and Democratic weakness among their key Latino constituency. The perceived GOP front-runner is Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, who just picked up a Trump endorsement. Former U.S.
The Republican Primary: The last time Republicans won a governor’s race in Colorado was in 2002. Their only statewide elected official, Board of Regents member Heidi Ganahl, is one of two GOP candidates, along with Greg Lopez, mayor of the Denver suburb of Parker.
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