2024 Looks Very Dark for Senate Democrats

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2024 Looks Very Dark for Senate Democrats
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Democrats holding on to the Senate in the midterms was a mild upset. They'll need more than over-performance to repeat that feat in 2024, Ed_Kilgore writes

Joe Manchin may either retire or face a truly uphill battle.The over-performance of the Democratic Party in, resulting in a net gain of one seat, represented a mild upset. If Democrats hang on to their fragile control of the chamber in 2024, it will be truly amazing.

The Senate’s six-year terms mean that senators are divided into “classes” of 33 or 34 lawmakers who face voters the same year. And that means the landscape can vary significantly from cycle to cycle regardless of what else is going on politically. Class 1 will be up for reelection next year, when the landscape will be very, very difficult for Democrats. For one thing, they are defending 23 seats while Republicans are defending 11 .

It tells you everything you need to know about Republican Senate vulnerabilities in 2024 that probably the two most promising takeaways for Democrats are in Florida and Texas. The other eight states whose Senate seats the GOP holds are very red indeed .

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