4 really worrisome things about Hurricane Dorian from the perspective of the former President of the American Meteorological Society.
the global models show this shear diminishing within 12-24 hours. With lower shear and very warm waters, all of the intensity models forecast Dorian to begin strengthening again soon, and rapid intensification could occur...Dorian is likely to reach major hurricane strength in the next day or two and is forecast to maintain that status until it reaches land.The graphic below illustrates that there is ample warm water and no major wind shear barriers ahead of Dorian's path.
My key message is to use the models as"Guidance not Gospel" at this point. Try to avoid speaking in"absolute" terms about the ultimate landfall location or its intensity but understand that we certainly know enough for preparation and planning. , is an expert on the relationship between vulnerable places and weather. He recently tweeted the image below and said:
México Últimas Noticias, México Titulares
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