4000 Scenarios For A Climate Turnaround
) has determined that only an additional 300 to 600 billion tonnes can be emitted from 2020 onwards, if we are to have a realistic chance of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. According to Evangelos Panos from the PSI’s Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, there is a slim margin for success, as 70% of the projected scenarios suggest that the world will surpass the 1.5° C threshold within the next five years.
To develop specific national pathways for energy system transformations, it is essential to consider additional parameters specific to each country while examining political and economic aspects. Panos emphasizes that transitioning to a zero-carbon economy requires a capital-intensive energy system and the mobilization of resources from all stakeholders. Therefore, customized analyses at the national level are necessary, and the study provides a reliable basis for conducting such analyses.
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