So what can past primary comebacks dating back to the 1970s tell us about the prospect of a shakeup today? Here’s a ride back in history, looking at the Democrats and one single Republican who managed to reverse the tide in the year before the primaries.
McCain’s favorable ratings for much of his career, from 1999-2017. The first and only time more Americans said they had an unfavorable opinion of McCain than a favorable one was August 2007, and the differences between those measurements were well within the margin of error: 41 percent favorable, 42 percent unfavorable.
Over that time, DeSantis’ average favorable rating slid slightly, from 37 percent to 35.6 percent. But his average unfavorable rating has risen significantly: from 36 percent on the first of the year to 45.5 percent now.Mario Cuomo 22.7 percent, Jerry Brown 13 percent, Doug Wilder 7.8 percent, Bill Clinton 7.4 percent
Clinton didn’t even enter the race officially until October 1991, and he was able to parlay the appearance of momentum after that second-place finish in New Hampshire to take down former California Gov. Jerry Brown and Sen. Paul Tsongas, whose New Hampshire victory was largely attributed to his residency in the neighboring state of Massachusetts.Jesse Jackson 18 percent, Gary Hart 12.7 percent, Michael Dukakis 11.
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