Academics in Israel suggested balancing public health and economic concerns with a mixed week of work and lockdown days, but other experts have serious doubts.
Drobac said another"very optimistic" assumption is the R₀ of 0.3 for the five days in lockdown.
In the analysis published by Alon, his team suggests that"if the estimated parameters are off or change over time, so that this strategy fails, one will observe an exponential rise in cases, and one can switch to a 1 day work/6 day lockdown schedule or full lockdown."his team"tested a range of parameters and a range of simulation models, ranging from simple to very detailed.
"Again, this does not mean throw out the model—it means the model is a solid baseline that suggests 'this two-day work week might be a neat thought,' which can hopefully spur more rigorous assessment of the concept."that where"Alon's idea gets interesting is on the other side of the epidemic peak. We will need to figure out how to get society and the economy working again while preventing a second surge in cases.
People cross Park Av. after it was announced that some streets will be shut as lockdown continues in response to the coronavirus outbreak on March 27, 2020 in New York City.World Health Organization advice for avoiding spread of coronavirus disease Wash hands after coughing or sneezing; when caring for the sick; before, during and after food preparation; before eating; after using the toilet; when hands are visibly dirty; and after handling animals or waste.
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