Analysis | How toxic are the politics of abortion for Republicans? One good indicator: Donald Trump reportedly wants the Republican Party to moderate.
that the result wasn’t simply about abortion but, more broadly, about casting the conservative candidate as an extremist.Campaign consultants have a vested interest in highlighting their own role in a successful campaign, of course, but it’s a fair question. President Biden made a last-minute case that Republicans were hostile to liberal democracy, an argument pivoting off the ongoing House select committee hearings centered on the Jan. 6.
That distinction is somewhat unimportant when considering 2024. The framing of the issue in the Rolling Stone article is specifically that Trump thinks his party is going too far on the issue, being too extreme. Whether voters reject the party’s position because it’s too extreme or too extreme on abortion is not that important electorally.
It’s likely that the party will continue to leave itself open to this attack. Modern politics, particularly on the right, is centered on generating attention and contributions from a core set of deeply engaged voters. There’s almost always more to be gleaned from an extreme position than a moderate one and the new, unbounded terrain in which the party finds itself yields plenty of opportunity for staking out more restricted positions.to clearly articulate his position on the issue.
The long-term politics of abortion may be worse for the party. As the KFF data show, it’s younger Americans who are most energized by the issue, and not generally in favor of curtailing abortion access. A heavily Democratic-voting younger generation is seeing a Republican Party that’s moving further away from them — movement that will probably color perceptions of the party for some time.
Elections can hinge on last-minute shifts in what’s motivating voters to vote. A lot can happen before 2024 that reduces the salience of abortion as a consideration. But Trump’s got a point: His party isn’t obviously making its chancesviable with its current approach to the issue. It’s quite possibly damaging its electoral prospects over the long term, too.
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