Takeaways from the NCAA basketball committee's sneak peek at the top 16 seeds.
. Not everyone was on the right line, but the top 16 seeds in that exercise were the same teams the committee tabbed a few days later.
A few quick takeaways, which are worth at least keeping in mind a bit as Selection Sunday draws closer.All three teams that were underseeded in last week’s projection came from the Big 12. The committee pegged Kansas as the last of the No. 1 seeds , while Iowa State and Kansas State both landed on the No. 3 line rather than as No. 4 seeds.The single-best explanation? High-end victories. Kansas is 14-5 in Quadrant 1 games, while Iowa State is 8-8 in those contests.
Both Marquette and Xavier were slotted as No. 4 seeds rather than No. 3s, though in defense of last week’s effort, the Musketeers hadn’t yet lost to Marquette. Connecticut, a metrics darling largely because of how it plowed through nonconference play, wasn’t even mentioned . All three of those teams have fine résumés — plenty enough quality victories, respectable records away from home and only one remotely questionable loss apiece . Don’t be stunned if one of them ends up as a No. 3 seed come March 12. More than one, though, is a stretch.There are six rankings included in the NCAA team sheets — two results-based numbers, three predictive measures and the NET.
In other words, be wary about placing too much stock in things like KenPom rankings, the Sagarin ratings and ESPN’s BPI metric heavily shaping the seeding of the field. That’s good advice at any time, especially so close to Selection Sunday.
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