Analysis | Scapegoating Mexico has a new look for the 2024 Republican field

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Analysis | Scapegoating Mexico has a new look for the 2024 Republican field
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Analysis: Some of Trump's 2016 rhetoric endures. But thanks to fentanyl, it also includes a new, militaristic edge.

Interestingly, Trump himself predicted the increase of drug overdoses that began during his presidency. Worried about his reelection after the covid-19 pandemic emerged, Trump called for economic restrictions to be lifted, warning that people would abuse alcohol and drugs. While overdose deaths were already rising before pandemic-related restrictions began, it was really in the covid-19 era that they surged, just as fentanyl was becoming available.

Notice, though, that the number of overdose deaths has been flat over the past 12 months. 2022 saw a record number, but the figure has stopped rising. In the most recent data, the predicted number of overdose deaths is actually down slightly. It’s possible that the surge in overdose deaths might mirror theEven if that doesn’t happen, the ideas presented by DeSantis and Trump have obvious gaps.

There’s another factor to the violence, too: Most of the firearms used by criminals in Mexico are sourced back to the U.S. An October report from the Trace indicated that more than half a million guns are smuggled into Mexico each year, with somerecovered in that country having come from this country. Neither Trump’s nor DeSantis’s plans mention curtailing gun trafficking to those cartels.

The point of these policy proposals, of course, isn’t really to offer up effective solutions for stemming the tide of fentanyl deaths. Instead, it’s to appeal to Republican primary voters with hard-line rhetoric tackling drug dealers, criminals and nefarious Chinese drug facilitators.

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