Analysis: Ukraine war tests growing China-Russia partnership

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Analysis: Ukraine war tests growing China-Russia partnership
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China and Russia have grown closer in recent years, raising the specter of an alliance of authoritarian states to challenge a U.S.-led democratic West in a new Cold War.

The nuclear-armed neighboring giants have grown closer in recent years, raising the specter of an alliance of authoritarian states that could challenge a U.S.-led democratic West in a new Cold War. Yet China has much to lose in such a scenario, and President Xi Jinping has spoken out against the “Cold War mentality” of those who portray his country's rise as a threat.

He outlined three possible actions that would indicate “China has thrown its lot in with Russia." These include Beijing using a veto, rather than an abstention, of any U.N. resolution to criticize Russia’s actions; recognition of a puppet regime in Ukraine put in place by Russia; and a refusal to call the attack an invasion even after civilian deaths are clearly confirmed.

Li Fan, a Russian studies professor at Renmin, said that China and Russia have “a neighborly, friendly strategic partnership” but that China isn’t taking sides in the current crisis. “It is not that China supports Russia’s military operation,” she said. China has said that the sovereignty and territorial integrity of all nations must be respected — a stance that runs counter to an invasion — while also opposing sanctions on Russia and blaming the U.S. and NATO's eastward expansion for being the root cause of the crisis.

It is unclear whether Putin sought Xi's support when he came to Beijing for the opening ceremony of the Winter Olympics on Feb. 4. The Russian leader's attendance was a face-saving event for Xi after the U.S. announced a diplomatic boycott over China's human rights record and many major countries didn't send representatives.

It accused unnamed “actors” of advocating unilateral approaches and resorting to force to address international issues, which could apply not only to the U.S. wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, but also Russia’s war in Ukraine.

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