Analysis: What we’re talking about when we talk about the white working class in the Midwest
A worker arrives for his shift May 2 at U.S. Steel's Clairton Coke Works in Clairton, Pa. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow May 20 at 3:40 PM There’s a genre of news article that became infamous in the wake of the 2016 presidential election. In it, a reporter travels to the Midwest and proceeds to explain how the working-class residents of this exotic locale ended up voting for Donald Trump.
The challenge now, though — as it was in 2016 — is understanding both how important the white working-class vote is in the context of the politics in those states and also understanding how much of that vote is affected by Trump himself. As a general rule, there are far more white working-class residents in most counties than black residents. Nationally, there are about four times as many whites without college degrees as there are black Americans. In more than 2,400 of the more than 3,100 counties for which the Census Bureau has detailed data, the black population is less than 20 percent the size of the population of white working-class residents of a county.
A look at that region of the state shows that most of the counties with larger cities are not heavily nonwhite.
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