Experts had predicted that more travel and social mixing over the winter holidays would fuel Covid-19’s spread.
Make no mistake. Cold and flu season is still in full swing in the United States. Flu cases are still high, but they appear to have peaked and are trending downward. “It’s pretty clear that there was a peak of activity, but that doesn’t mean we won’t have another one,” said Lynnette Brammer, lead of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s domestic influenza surveillance team. “Things could turn around and go back up.
That’s still fast, but it’s not the week-over-week doubling in spread that had first alarmed variant-watchers. In its weekly review, the CDC explained that its projections are more uncertain when a new variant begins to spread. Its scientists revise their Nowcast estimates for current and previous weeks as new data comes in. Dr. Peter Hotez, dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at the Baylor College of Medicine in Houston, says that when he first saw the numbers for XBB.1.
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