NFL predictions, picks, and odds for Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs. NFL Week 3 betting best bet and game analysis.
had his numbers suppressed in Week 1 when his receivers dropped eight passes but they got their act together last Sunday as he completed 70.7% of his passes for 305 yards vs. the Jaguars. Despite rolling up almost 400 yards of offense in that contest, the Chiefs mustered just 17 points, which was due to poor efficiency at the goal line and penalties that stalled drives.
This is a get-right spot for Mahomes and the Chiefs offense against a woeful Bears defense that has a league-worst opponent pass efficiency rating of 118.3. That said, it's really tough to lay this many points on a Chiefs team that has often disappointed as a big fave. The Chiefs are just 3-8-1 against the spread in their previous 12 games at Arrowhead and since the start of last season and are just 1-5 ATS when favored by more than 10 points. While the Bears are just 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games, they hadn't seen a spread larger than 8.5 points during that stretch.
I'm shying away from backing the Chiefs at -13 but I expect them to come fired up at home against a Bears team that looks to be in shambles. I'll bet the reigning champs on the first-half spread which you can still get below a touchdown.
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