Beto O’Rourke announced his run for Texas governor Monday, taking the opportunity to slam current Gov. Greg Abbott in the process. This marks O’Rourke’s third run for office after a presidential campaign in 2020 and a slim loss for U.S. senator in 2018.
Nevertheless, recent polls indicate O'Rourke may have a fighting chance of winning. A poll by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas last month found that 52 percent of voters said they think the state is on the wrong track—the highest negative finding ever for the question, which the poll has asked since 2009.
A recent Quinnipiac University poll found that 51 percent of respondents in the state said Abbott should not be reelected. However, in that same poll 50 percent of voters said they did not think O'Rourke would make a good governor. Forty-nine percent said actor Matthew McConaughey, who has said he is mulling a run for the office, also would not be a good governor.
Other polls show Abbott still has more support than O'Rourke, although his favorability appears to be dwindling. Apoll conducted September 7 to 14 found that 42 percent of registered voters in the state said they would vote for Abbott; 37 percent said they would vote for O'Rourke. In July, 45 percent favored Abbott, versus the 33 percent who supported O'Rourke.
Demographics that are seen to be key for O'Rourke are young voters and women. The latter's feelings about the state's new restrictive abortion law, which Abbott supports, could be a factor in whether they support a progressive candidate in 2022. Other important issues will be COVID-19, especially after Abbott tried to prevent mask and vaccine mandates from being implemented, and migrants crossing the state's border with Mexico, which the Republican governor has aggressively tried to stop.
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