Biden’s victory dance: All-politics plan

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Biden’s victory dance: All-politics plan
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Biden is defying history. Midterm losses for the president's party averaged 28 House seats and four in the Senate from 1934 to 2018, as UCSB's American Presidency Project details.

In recent midterms, Republicans lost 40 House seats in 2018 ; Democrats lost Senate and double-digit House seats in 2014 and 2010 and so did Republicans in 2006.

Biden officials for months were preparing to lose one or both chambers of Congress, knowing that history trends and the economy would work against them.to run against Congress in the second half of his first term. And that could put him in a better position to win reelection, according to aides and advisers.In the coming weeks, Biden will ramp up his outreach to big-dollar donors, timed to White House holiday parties, to underwrite his likely reelection campaign.

Klain has indicated to colleagues that he’s exhausted, and many of them expect him to leave as early as this year. But Klain doesn’t appear to have made his decision, and many officials simply can’t envision a Biden presidency without Klain helping to conduct it.Top officials insist that Biden's preparing to run for reelection. But they're also prepared for scattered calls for him to serve only one term.

Despite private and public assurances from would-be challengers, there is no guarantee that one or several won't decide they represent a better chance to win in 2024.

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