The path forward has been anything but smooth as bitcoin investors have consistently weathered periods of gut-wrenching volatility. Get your Q1 Bitcoin forecast from tastytradeRyan here:
. This trend in correlations among bitcoin and equities has also been strengthening for much of the year.This could be further evidence that bitcoin is similarly influenced by the outsized impacts of both monetary and fiscal policy in a post-COIVD world, or that growing intuitional adoption has ushered in the same risk management processes employed by these investors across traditional assets.
Bitcoin is also likely to struggle, should the persistent dollar strength of Q4 21 continue. Whether you prefer to view bitcoin as a currency or a commodity , the dollar is a factor. The strength of this inverse relationship can certainly wane, but going forward, like most commodities, a strong dollar could impede performance while dollar weakness might offer a tailwind.
Should this hold true, going forward we’d expect bitcoin’s price to perform well during periods of economic growth and inflation, often coinciding with higher long-term interest rates, while a growth slowdown and disinflationary backdrop could make things difficult for BTC. Similar as to how equities tend to underperform during periods of economic deceleration.
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