Boris Johnson's overall approval ratings compare favourably with those of the previous six prime ministers
”. During the last Conservative leadership contest in 2016 Michael Gove, a fellow Brexiteer, launched his campaign by claiming that Mr Johnson “cannot provide the leadership or build the team for the task ahead”.
Yet on July 24th Boris Johnson will succeed Theresa May as Britain’s prime minister. After a two-month campaign, 66% of Conservative members voted for Mr Johnson to be the party’s leader, rather than Jeremy Hunt. The Tory faithful were undeterred by Mr Johnson’s reputation for chaos and chicanery. According to Ipsos MORI, a pollster, 55% of Conservative supporters think he is a capable leader. Some 36% reckon that he is more honest than most politicians.
He differs starkly from his predecessors on two fronts. Thanks to his wit , 79% of Britons agree that he has lots of personality, more than double the equivalent figure for Mr Blair before his election. Mr Johnson’s fondness for obscure historical jokes mean that 62% think he is out of touch. That is nearly three times as high as for Mr Cameron, his confrère from Eton and Oxford.
A prime minister’s initial approval ratings are a poor predictor of his or her future performance. Thatcher’s rose gradually, whereas Mrs May’s spiked and then slumped. The Tory MPs who backed Mr Johnson in the contest have gambled that his eccentric style will win voters round and revive their hopes of re-election. As the Conservatives have grown increasingly fractious over Brexit, support for the party has collapsed, from 39% of voters at the start of the year to barely half that in June.
Once it became clear that Mr Johnson would win the leadership race, the Conservatives’ support rebounded, from 20% to 25%, while that for the Brexit Party dipped. Still,how Britain’s first-past-the-post system would divide seats in a contest between four competitive parties. For now, punters on Betfair Exchange, a betting market, have reinstalled the Tories as favourites to win the most seats in the next election .
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