Just two days after beating the Hornets by 16, the Celtics are back at Spectrum Center for Round 2. As we break down in our NBA betting picks below, we don't see the rematch going much differently.
Following a disappointing Finals loss to the Warriors, the Celtics have been unambiguously the NBA’s best team this season. Even after something of a rough patch a month ago they’re 32-12 with the league's point differential at +7.4 and are given by far the best chance of winning the NBA title by FiveThirtyEight’sBoston’s unique talent is its balance. They’re the only team ranked Top 5 on both offense and defense, per, and frankly, no other team is all that close.
In the path of that juggernaut this morning is the decidedly not competitive Hornets, who rank 15th in the Eastern Conference and whose 11 wins only narrowly lose out to the 10-33 Rockets for the worst record in the NBA. Charlotte is balanced too, in that they’re Bottom 5 on both sides of the ball. They’re utterly helpless to stop even modest offenses while unable to offer up much of their own despite the brilliance of LaMelo Ball. Incidentally, all the tanking teams are Bottom 5 or nearly on both offense and defense. In an inversion of Anna Karenina, all good NBA teams are good in their own way, but every bad team is alike.
These two teams played each other in Charlotte on Saturday, and the Celtics easily covered despite only taking the game seriously for the duration of the fourth quarter. They’re just so far ahead in talent, attention to detail, shot-making, rim protection, and just about every meaningful predictor of NBA success.
The lion's share of bets are pouring in at Celtics -8, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this line continue to move as they do. The Hornets have a strong argument for the league’s worst team while the Celtics have been the best. I’m hammering anything less than a double-digit spread between the two.
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