China's nasty threat to retaliate against the US in the trade war would backfire catastrophically

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China's nasty threat to retaliate against the US in the trade war would backfire catastrophically
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China's big threat to retaliate against the US in the trade war would backfire catastrophically lopezlinette

While riding on his father's shoulders, a young Chinese boy aims his toy machine gun as they visit Tiananmen Gate on National Day in Beijing Sunday, October, 1.Now that the US trade war with China has begun, people on both sides are talking about the idea that China could retaliate against the US by selling Treasurys.Selling a meaningful amount of US Treasurys would have harmful reverberations on China's economy, not to mention the world's.

It sounds terrible. Luckily, it's highly unlikely to happen, because a Treasurys dump would hurt the US, China, and the world in that order. Selling US Treasurys would depress the value of the dollar, making Chinese exports more expensive. Plus, it would limit China's ability to manage its own currency, the yuan, if this trade war gets really out of control.

"What people don't understand is that it is not a choice" to keep so many Treasurys, Stephenson-Yang said, calling the dollar the world's"currency of choice." This, of course, does not stop China's media from bringing up the dumping of Treasurys to scare the US. Here's a tweet from the editor of the Chinese and English editions of The Global Times, a fairly bellicose Chinese state mouthpiece.On top of all that, dumping Treasurys in bulk would reverberate through China's economy, and the global economy, in ways that would cause extreme, and potentially uncontrollable volatility.

The very existence of the trade war has been weakening the yuan since its opening salvos last summer. In order to ensure that it doesn't fall too far and break the band, Chinese policymakers are selling Treasurys and related instruments.

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