Covid-19 vaccines saved hundreds of thousands of lives and prevented more than a million hospitalizations in the United States, according to new estimates from researchers at Yale University and the Commonwealth Fund
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The researchers compared actual trends in Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths against a modeled trajectory of what those trends would have been if there had been no vaccinations. By the end of June, the researchers estimate that there would have been about 279,000 additional deaths due to Covid-19 -- about 46% more than there were -- and as many as 1.25 million additional hospitalizations if there were no vaccinations.
The researchers compared their model against actual trends between mid-December 2020 -- when vaccinations began in the US -- and the end of June 2021. However, the model was simulated using data back through October 2020 to balance lower incidence rates with the those from winter surge. Nearly 48% of the US population -- about 156 million people -- are fully vaccinated, according to data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
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