Although it was birthed out of a recession, bitcoin has never lived through one. It will, at the very least, get interesting as things get tougher. gckaloudis writes in this week’s Crypto Long & Short newsletter.
The yield curve inverted this week . The yield curve inverting is often treated as aOK, but what does that mean? In plain English, the U.S. federal government sells bonds, or Treasurys, to investors like you to. Those Treasurys, in turn, pay you an interest rate or yield over a period of time. At the end of that period of time, the original amount is returned to the investor. If Treasurys sound like loans, that’s because they are.
The amount investors would expect to make on these Treasurys is higher the longer the loan is. That makes sense. Your money is locked up longer, so in exchange for that risk you get more yield. So then if you plotted the length of the loan on the x-axis against yield, you’d get a logarithmic-looking growth curve.Except when the yield curve inverts – which is what happened. Now, 10-year Treasury yields are lower than 2-year Treasury yields.
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