Democrats seem to be preparing for 2020 by misreading their 2016 loss. The road to national power goes through the suburbs, not the coasts or MSNBC.
Generals often fight the last war — and the same applies to political parties that try, however myopically, to learn lessons from the last round. Still, how do we explain why so many Democrats seem hellbent on preparing for 2020 not by building on huge 2018 successes, but by misreading their party’s loss in 2016?
Democrats ignore 2018 lessons November 2016 finally forced liberal Americans to stop focusing all their hopes on presidential politics and, instead, build from the bottom up in all parts of the country. From the 1980s to the early 2000s, U.S. conservatives figured out that governorships and state legislatures are the key to building power.
Politics is a team sport►U.S. politics is not a national contest. Victories in Congress, state politics and the Electoral College all depend on winning majorities or hefty pluralities in heartland states and areas that are not big cities. Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 mainly because she was whomped in non-urban areas where Obama had lost by far smaller margins.
►Politics is a team sport. This is the most important lesson — to be kept in mind by citizens who need to keep organizing at the grassroots everywhere, by candidates who need to step up at all levels, and by donors and constituency groups. I’m looking at you, peripheral presidential contenders John Hickenlooper and Steve Bullock . You should withdraw and run for the Senate. And I am really looking at you, billionaire Tom Steyer.
In the United States, the road to national power does NOT run primarily through California, Massachusetts, or the TV studios of MSNBC in New York City. It runs through middle-American suburbs, cities and rural counties. To win in 2020 and beyond, Democrats have to organize everywhere and project a national message that resonates widely.
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