West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin is one of the only statewide elected Democrats in the state. He's also probably the only one who can win.
That said, Justice is potentially vulnerable as a candidate for U.S. Senate.
While he currently boasts a high approval rating among West Virginia voters, he could potentially be exposed in what is likely to be a brutal Republican primary between him and Mooney: particularly after Justice supported the Trump-endorsed Mooney's opponent, David McKinley,Congressional District last cycle over Mooney's lack of support for Biden's Inflation Reduction Act.
Manchin, meanwhile, still has a strong personal brand that will likely elevate him in any race—particularly in a presidential election year. Though his 2018 opponent, Patrick Morrisey ran what Shepherd University political science professor Samuel Greene described as an underwhelming campaign, he ultimately failed to carry his home county, while Manchin managed to win not only in counties that voted Republican for president in 2020 but for the U.S. House races in 2018.
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