More than three weeks into his invasion of Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s initial aim of an easy regime change in Ukraine is long gone
Putin’s forces in Ukraine are waging Russia’s largest, most complex combined military campaign since taking Berlin in 1945. His initial objective, which he announced in a television address on Feb. 24 as the invasion began, was to “demilitarize” Ukraine and save its people from “neo-Nazis," a false description of Ukraine’s government, which is led by a Jewish president.
Russia's military did not expect the resistance it would face from Ukrainian fighters, says former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of state Joel Rubin. "The Ukrainian people are incredibly brave and strong, and they are staring down a very large army and putting it in its place," Rubin said. Kofman cautions that much of the information on the war is coming from Ukrainians, or their American or other allies. That makes the partial picture skewed, and a full picture impossible.
Russia’s number of dead and wounded in Ukraine is nearing the 10% benchmark of diminished combat effectiveness, Gorenburg said. The reported battlefield deaths of four Russian generals — out of an estimated 20 in the fight — signal impaired command, he said.
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