NFL odds, picks and predictions for Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots. NFL Week 1 betting best bet and game analysis.
Under 22.5 Points First HalfHurts and this offense may not be able to exploit the Patriots' pass defense and that will give New England time to turn up the pressure, pushing the crazy-legged QB to grab gains on the ground. Player modeling calls for a ceiling of 60-plus yards in Week 1.
My ratings are very bullish on Philly this season and I do have a spread bet on the Eagles -3.5. But with a lot of places ticking up to Philadelphia -4, I often opt for the outright odds when spreads reach this undervalued key number. FYI: 4-point faves are 35-35 SU and just 23-46-1 ATS since 2018 .
According to BetMGM operations, 78% of ticket count and 93% of the handle is riding on Philadelphia. Our Covers Consensus percentages are just as bullish on the visitor with 71% of picks laying the points with the Eagles. Given there is about a five-point discrepancy between the actual spread and my projected handicap, we have to dig into why the Patriots wouldn’t be bigger underdogs – or why this line would slim from heights of Philadelphia -5?
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