Joe Biden is a big favorite in Missouri and Mississippi tonight—but the margins matter.
. As such, his top district is the 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the St. Louis area and is nearly 50 percent black. The 1st is also the most delegate-rich district in Missouri, with eight up for grabs. Biden’s second-best seat is the only other district in Missouri with a large black population: the 5th Congressional District based in Kansas City, which is about 20 percent black.
Sanders’s best districts, on the other hand, are ones that have few black voters and more white voters — which Missouri has plenty of. But one reason he isn’t projected to do better in some of Missouri’s whiter districts is because he hasn’t performed as well among white voters without a college degree in this year’s contests as he did in 2016. Biden has also cut into some of Sanders’s advantages among these voters, performing fairly well so far among whites in the South.
The 2nd Congressional District in suburban St. Louis looks to be Sanders’s strongest district, as his support has held up best in areas with a highly educated, mostly white electorate. And that very much describes the 2nd, which is almost 90 percent white and is easily the most well-educated district in the state — about half of its adult population has a college degree. Even still, Sanders trails by 8 points there.
Thirteen of Mississippi’s 36 pledged delegates to the national convention in July are allocated via the statewide total, while the remaining 23 delegates are allocated . And according to our average forecasted vote share in each district, Biden leads Sanders by at least 30 points everywhere, so he stands to collect a large share of the state’s district-level delegates, too.Average forecasted vote share for the top two Democratic presidential candidates in Mississippi congressional districts, according to the FiveThirtyEight model as of 9 a.m. on March 9
México Últimas Noticias, México Titulares
Similar News:También puedes leer noticias similares a ésta que hemos recopilado de otras fuentes de noticias.
Election Preview: Biden Is A Big Favorite In Missouri And Mississippi, But The Margins MatterJoe Biden is a big favorite in Missouri and Mississippi tomorrow—but the margins matter.
Leer más »
Our Final Forecast For Today’s PrimariesJoe Biden is a clear favorite in three states, but there’s room for a Bernie Sanders upset in three others. Here's FiveThirtyEight's final forecast for today’s primaries.
Leer más »
Joe Biden's lead over Trump in national election grows to largest margin of 2020, new poll showsThe former vice president would beat the incumbent by 7 percent in a hypothetical general election match-up, according to Morning Consult survey data.
Leer más »
POLITICO Playbook: The next coronavirus fight: A Washington squabbleWhat the public is about to see is Washington bickering over what legislation is needed to help right the economy and stop the further spread of this pandemic
Leer más »
Kamala Harris Endorses Joe Biden for PresidentHarris is the sixth former rival to endorse Biden since he won a big victory in the South Carolina primary.
Leer más »
What the Polls Say About a Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden ElectionMost recent national polls show the former vice president besting Trump by significant margins in a hypothetical general election match-up.
Leer más »