France's Emmanuel Macron may be the key to what happens with Brexit this week
By James McAuley and James McAuley Foreign correspondent focusing on French and European politics and culture Email Bio Follow Michael Birnbaum Michael Birnbaum Brussels bureau chief covering Europe Email Bio Follow April 9 at 4:16 PM PARIS — What happens this week with Brexit — whether Britain crashes out of the European Union without a deal, or gets more time to sort out a smooth departure — may come down to French President Emmanuel Macron.
Few European policymakers or analysts expect an outright veto by Macron — that could isolate him on the European stage, where he has sought to become the dominant player. “France is not worried to be outspoken on this,” said Pierre Vimont, a former French ambassador to the E.U. “But the truth is that many other delegations are starting to have Brexit fatigue, and they all are starting to have domestic problems on the issue.”
Macron will seek to impose “strict conditions” on Britain during any extension, the official said, adding that the E.U. could reasonably demand periodic reviews to ensure that Britain was honoring its commitment “not to thwart E.U. decision-making.”British lawmaker Jacob Rees-Mogg tweeted last week: “If a long extension leaves us stuck in the EU we should be as difficult as possible.
“Our experience so far, as well as the deep divisions within the House of Commons, give us little reason to believe that the ratification process can be completed by the end of June,” Tusk wrote to E.U. leaders on Tuesday. Germany is no less concerned about potential disruption, said Josef Janning, the co-head of the Berlin office of the European Council on Foreign Relations. “Wanting to leave but still in as a spoiler is, in the Berlin view, nearly as terrible as a no-deal Brexit,” Janning said.
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