Our favorite NFL best bets and player props for Week 4, where the Atlanta Falcons visit the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Ever since Trevor Lawrence was a freshman at Clemson, he’s been hailed as one of the sport's next best quarterbacks. But ever since his freshman year at Clemson, results have been rather middling.
The former first-overall pick has had lukewarm results at best in the pros, yet he is often still priced as a surefire stud. Take his touchdown prop for this Sunday, for example. He’s priced +114 to go over 1.5 passing touchdowns but the numbers don't really justify that type of pricing., he's had two or more passing touchdowns in just 10 games — good for just a measly 27% hit rate.
On top of that, the Falcons have allowed two or more passing touchdowns just once in their last six games, and just three times in their last 13.to go under 1.5 passing touchdowns is +EV.
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