French Open 2023 Odds, Picks & Predictions - Men's Final

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French Open 2023 Odds, Picks & Predictions - Men's Final
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Novak Djokovic is back in a Grand Slam final, and as a heavy favorite. KennyDucey is finding value in him putting Casper Ruud to bed early. RolandGarros

The only two times Ruud has taken a set off of Djokovic were at the ATP Finals — an end-of-season event that often has some wacky results. On clay, Ruud has lost rather routinely with all sets ending 7-5, 6-4 or 6-3.

Djokovic has seemed to overlook his opponents at times in this tournament and come out flat, but even in that case I still think we could see a four-set under. Ruud’s backhand is a massive liability, and his offense won’t be good enough to make up for it here. Djokovic is one of the best defenders in the world and will extract more errors out of the Ruud backhand than the Norwegian’s opponents to this point have.

That’s not to say he’s played clean tennis to this point, either. As I highlighted above, Ruud was gifted some breaks and sets by his opponents in the last few matches, and even then struggled to close with the lead. He’s going to be up against a very difficult opponent here, much more difficult than anyone he’s faced in weeks.

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