The Tigers opened as sizable underdogs for this Monday matinee with the struggling Giants, but one-sided action has seen Detroit do a complete reversal, as they're now significant favorites. Our MLB betting picks believe the money is smart.
Since we’re getting such good value on the Tigers to cover the run line, that seems like a great place to begin a same-game parlay bet on this afternoon’s contest. We’ll pair that with the Over, as while these are both light-hitting lineups, the Tigers should be able to get to Stripling, while the Giants will eventually get opportunities against the Detroit bullpen.. The lefthanded outfielder has a good matchup against Stripling, and is riding a five-game hitting streak coming into today’s game.
Even with the line flipping, I’m leaning towards the Tigers in today’s game. Stripling has been entirely unreliable for San Francisco this season, while Skubal has been generally good since returning, outside of a single bad performance in his last start. Throw in all the other factors I mentioned above that make this an ugly spot for the Giants, and the Tigers are the pick here.
The total in today’s game opened at 8.5 runs, and that remains the consensus Over/Under as of early Monday. Right now, sites can’t agree on which side should be favored: You can get -105 on the Over or -104 on the Under by shopping around. The Giants have generally played below the total this year, with the Under going 52-43 in San Francisco’s games this year. Despite the fact that Detroit is scoring a piddling 3.90 runs per game, the Over has still gone 50-43 when the Tigers play.
Neither team has a particularly strong lineup, yet sportsbooks are hesitant to push this total too low because of the shaky pitching matchup. I want to take advantage of those pitchers by predicting we go above the 8.5 run total. It’s not a strong lean, but with generous odds available if we shop around, I’m tentatively playing the Over here.
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