High home sales prices and mortgage interest rates are squeezing out first-time home buyers from entering the market, especially as incomes have not kept up, housing experts say.
In 2020, the housing market was in a frenzy. High numbers of homes were selling, agents’ inventories were low and offers were frequently being made over list prices, said Jason Giarrizzo, a realtor with West USA Realty, who has been in the industry for 31 years.
Now, the inventory is at about 13,000, which is still half of what a balanced inventory is for the Phoenix metropolitan area, Giarrizzo said. Chris Giarrizzo, a mortgage loan officer at Lennar Mortgage, who has been in the industry for over 23 years and is married to Jason Giarrizzo, said many hourly workers are struggling to afford housing, whether it’s a home purchase, or even rent.
“We weren’t out shopping and weren’t traveling, and so I’ll be honest, not only in my industry, but in several industries, people had said that they had never been as busy. … We were all working a lot of hours,” Chris Giarrizzo said. “Even though the frenzy is over, I don’t see a plummet in home values,” Jason Giarrizzo said. “We’re not going to see big spikes in inventory, I think, due to those people that have locked in on those low rates.”
In northern Arizona, where Jason Giarrizzo also sells real estate, the properties are being sold more quickly and at much higher prices, although there is still low inventory. “I’ve been working more in that $1 million to $2.5 million range, and actually I’m seeing a lot of those deals go in cash,” he said.
He fixed his credit score, saved for a down payment and recently started the process of getting a home loan.
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