Epidemic is a convenient excuse to crack down on protests, but could bite later on
arguing the term-limit reset was unconstitutional. Their call was quickly drowned in a deluge of coronavirus news as the number of reported cases jumped from 63 to 93 and the government closed the borders to foreigners.
Already that evening, many supermarket shelves in Moscow were empty as residents bought long-term supplies of toilet paper, buckwheat and other dry goods. But as Ryklin and other analysts have pointed out, if economic troubles continue long-term, the coronavirus smokescreen could wear thin. Since Moscow walked away from oil production cuts with Saudi Arabia in early March, reportedly in an attempt to put U.S. shale producers out of business, the price of Brent crude has dropped from around $50 a barrel to $30. As oil is Russia's main export, the ruble exchange rate slipped as well.
That's a problem for Putin, who couched the constitutional reform in promises of economic growth. The amendments include the indexation of pensions and a guaranteed minimum income, and he has also ordered a massive program of social spending on health care, education and housing.
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