The good news: Closing schools helps slow the spread of pandemics. The bad news: They may need to stay closed for months.
Does the math from your flu study inform how long our schools should stay closed? Is 84 days a reasonable guide post?To answer your question briefly, the concept as explained in my pandemic flu paper will apply to this COVID-19 pandemicbut the exact number or percentage of predicted cases will not, because influenza and SARS-CoV-2 [the coronavirus] are two different viruses. The key message of my paper is not necessarily how quickly we shut down schools.
Do they want to achieve: A) a complete block to all transmission chains and to drive the virus to extinction, as in the SARS epidemic in 2003?
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