Next year's food crisis will be different from this year's. Here's how it could change — for the worse — in 2023.
In July, Ukraine President
took to Twitter to warn that the country's farm harvest could be halved this year due to the war."Ukrainian harvest this year is under the threat to be twice less," Zelenskyy tweeted.forecast a sharp drop in harvest volumes: It estimates Ukraine's production of grains, such as wheat, will drop by 35% to 45% in the next harvesting season.
"The ongoing conflict is interfering with farmers' ability to prepare fields, plant seeds, and protect and fertilize crops, which will likely result in even lower volumes next harvest season,"wrote in the report about global food security amid the Ukraine war and impact from climate change. Per McKinsey forecasts, Ukraine's harvest will be 30 to 44 million tons below normal levels this year. This is due to fewer plantings on an acreage basis, reduced farmer cashflow as much of their last harvest can't be shipped, and the possibility of grain left untended or unharvested, the consultancy firm said.
"In the next planting season, due to the war's disruption of Ukrainian planting and harvesting and combined with less-than-optimal inputs into Russian, Brazilian, and other growing countries' crops, supply will likely tighten," wrote McKinsey. The consultancy interviewed local growers and reviewed local data for its report.
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