Foreign policy experts argue that the brewing dispute between the two nations is not an isolated event and could have ripple effects that down the line that impact U.S. policy in Afghanistan and beyond.
As the world's largest democracy gears up for a national election, India is facing a dramatic rise in tensions with its neighbor, Pakistan…and America should be concerned. In response to India's airstrike on Tuesday, Pakistan shot down two Indian military jets and captured an Indian pilot.
Afghanistan is the first area of concern. The U.S. still has troops on the ground in Afghanistan which shares a border with Pakistan and continues to struggle with terrorism. Any further disruption between India and Pakistan, experts say, could spill over to Afghanistan. Furthermore, if the U.S. shows support towards India in the current dispute, Pakistan could retaliate, said Rick Rossow, Senior Adviser and Wadhwani Chair in U.S.
Given the longstanding rivalry between India and Pakistan, political experts expect India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi and opposition parties to refocus and prioritize security and defense issues ahead of the general election in April/May. Professor Sumit Ganguly, the Rabindranath Tagore chair in Indian cultures and civilizations at Indiana University, said Pakistan is a hot button issue for Modi's constituents this election season.
Another challenge facing India is higher oil prices. As an importer of oil, the rise in oil prices will dramatically increase India's current account deficit. However India's growing middle class and strong economic growth makes it an attractive market for oil producing nations like the U.S. and Saudi Arabia.
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