The latest advisory says Hurricane Dorian has sustained winds of 155 mph, making it a high-end Category 4 storm. Follow live updates:
The fate of a US landfall is all dependent on if and when this storm turns northward.The National Hurricane Center says it expects the storm will turn to the north over the next couple of days.
But the variance in timing of the turn will make all the difference in the world. Just a change of a few hours could be the difference between a landfall in Florida and no landfall at all. This is why even though the NHC has the forecast track miles offshore, it includes the"cone of uncertainty." Anyone in the cone is still at risk for a landfall.
The good news for the US is that most of the forecast models meteorologist use -- like the European and the American models -- show the storm remaining offshore. Only a few of the models bring the storm inland to Florida and a couple more bring the hurricane into North Carolina.No matter if the storm comes ashore or not the effects of this extremely dangerous hurricane will be felt from West Palm Beach to the Outer Banks of North Carolina.
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