'Any collapse or weakening of a state in the region is likely to fuel into more instability in the region.'
As disorder deepens in Iran amid widespread protests, fears are rising that the fall of Iran's revolutionary Shiite Islamic Republic could lead to disaster in the region and the re-emergence of an even greater foe of the United States—the Islamic State militant group known as ISIS.
"Any collapse or weakening of a state in the region is likely to fuel into more instability in the region," Aslani told."This is also a concern of even opponents in Iran, in so that they are not sure in the case of the collapse of the current system in the country who will replace them and how the situation will be."
These campaigns cost Iran capital, both human and financial, and strict U.S. sanctions have choked up Tehran's access to disposable income. Although the Iranian government is believed to still have access to considerable wealth to run its operations, the dual effects of a U.S.-imposed trade siege and domestic mismanagement have made life more difficult for everyday Iranians unable to take advantage of the economic reforms promised by President Hassan Rouhani.
Those groups are"the biggest non-state threat to Iran today," Ariane Tabatabai, an associate political scientist at the RAND Corporation and an adjunct senior research scholar at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs, told. The most volatile border areas are Sistan-Baluchistan, Khuzestan and Kurdistan. Watchers worry that any escalation of insurgencies in these parts could propel Iran toward the sectarian strife seen in Syria.
The group's reach within Iran remains fairly insignificant, Tabatabai added. She explained, however, that"ISIS has mostly focused its efforts in the areas with significant Kurdish and Arab minority populations—because these are populations that have been historically neglected if not repressed by the central authority."
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