India's retail inflation likely slowed to a three-month low in July, bringing it back within the central bank's target range, on falling food prices and an easing of supply chain disruptions, a Reuters poll found.
eased to 5.78% last month from 6.26% in June.
"There's a material drop in edible oil and palm oil prices after tariff reductions and global oil price volatility has eased as well," said Rajni Thakur, chief economist at RBL Bank. A deadly second wave of coronavirus infections in April and May led to many states reimposing lockdowns, constraining supply chains and leading to a spike in inflation.
"While a recovery in economic activity is slowly gaining traction from the bottom of May slack remains in the economy and uncertainty around the pandemic is still quite high, even with a gradual improvement in the pace of vaccination between June and July," Kapur said.India's infrastructure output
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