Is Lyft Worth $20 Billion?

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Is Lyft Worth $20 Billion?
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Lyft has very strong revenue growth but lost almost $1 billion last year. However, it going public at $68 (or a bit above that) isn't unreasonable

Lyft’s revenue increased from $343 million in 2016, to $1.06 billion in 2017 and to $2.16 billion in 2018 . The company has been able to achieve strong growth through a combination of increasing the number of riders and its revenue per rider every quarter.Another aspect of how Lyft has been able to grow can be found by analyzing what the company calls cohorts of riders. From the graph below in 2015 there were 25.1 million rides taken by people who took their first ride that year.

Since Lyft is losing a substantial amount of money it will take multiple years for revenue to increase enough and operating expenses to slow their growth for the company to become profitable. Additionally gross margins will need to continue to increase. The CNBCI would not expect Lyft to get anywhere close to this goal in the next five years and even in a decade unless it can add a high margin business to the mix.

Trip Chowdhry at Global Equity Research published projections through 2022 but does not have a recommendation or price target for Lyft. He did include, “Lyft is here to stay and that it has solid technology and IP. The issues he outlined were: · 1Q 2019’s revenue increases $80 million from 4Q 2018 and then $100 million per quarter through 2022· Gross margins increase from 42.4% in 2018 to 46% in 2019 and then 3% per year to 55% in 2022

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