Virginia Republicans have a fight on their hands in Tuesday's elections. They're trying to hold onto their narrow state legislative majorities while also trying to beat back a suburban shift against President Donald Trump.
Republican incumbent State Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant, right, walks away from a home with volunteer, as she visits voters in Richmond, Va., Thursday, Oct. 31, 2019, with aide Mackenzie Marcia, left. Dunnavant is running agains Democrat Debra Rodman.
Dunnavant’s dance speaks to the dire threat Trump has created for Republicans in Virginia and, more broadly, suburbs across America. This is where higher-educated and more affluent voters — particularly women — have revolted against Trump’s GOP. These areas leaned Republican in the past, but amid shifting demographics and Trump’s turbulent presidency, they have transformed into the nation’s premier political battleground.
Like Virginia, suburban North Carolina, Georgia and Texas have seen explosive growth and demographic shifts in recent years that have given Democrats real momentum, even if they have yet to break through. “Things are so bad right now in Virginia for a Republican like me,” Stewart said. “Things are moving in the wrong direction in the suburbs.”
They have also trended younger and more racially diverse in recent years. Nearly 30% of Henrico’s population is African American and 8% is Asian, reflecting the changes in population growth since 2000 that have accompanied the county’s leftward shift in recent elections.
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