The U.S. Federal Reserve is under pressure from President Donald Trump to cut in...
JACKSON HOLE, Wyo. - The U.S. Federal Reserve is under pressure from President Donald Trump to cut interest rates. Investors expect the Fed to cut, perhaps by a lot.
What’s the holdup?Perhaps more than at any time in the last few years, the data flowing into the Fed isn’t telling a clear story, partly because of contradictory signals - rising employment but slowing factory output, for example - but also because everything may be clouded by a trade war that shows no signs of ending.
In that context the recent yield curve inversion may either be a signal investors are losing faith, a result of the trade war pushing money into “safe” U.S. bond markets, or a more benign byproduct of the fact that the yield on the 10-year German bond is now negative. Who would buy that over a U.S. Treasury with positive return?
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