Pyongyang’s motivation to strike a denuclearization deal with the U.S. seems to have dropped dramatically in recent years, America’s former top intelligence officer for North Korea said Tuesday, warning that the country’s deepening relationships with Russia and China have dimmed the prospects for any diplomatic breakthrough in the near term.
Speaking at “The Washington Brief,” a monthly forum hosted by The Washington Times Foundation, former intelligence officer Sydney Seiler said that North Korea passed on its best chance to strike transformational agreements with the U.S. and South Korea late last decade. Instead, Pyongyang has reverted back to routine ballistic missile tests, thinly veiled threats of nuclear war, and provocation toward America and its key allies in the region, chiefly South Korea and Japan.
“What’s new now that actually bodes, I think, poorly against a possible re-examination by Pyongyang of a relationship with the United States is a perceived lack of need to have that relationship with the United States — if Pyongyang’s view of the world is that there is this new world order emerging and this new bloc geopolitics, this ability to turn to Russia, to turn to China, to turn to Iran,” said Mr.
“The sad truth is that international trend lines point toward a North Korea that may feel it is less dependent on the need to denuclearize. … For now, at least, they have ideological bedfellows who will be a little bit less demanding and a little bit more conducive to North Korea’s diplomatic and national security goals,” he said. “They’ll find them in Moscow and Beijing more so today than they have in the recent past, and therefore I think less likely to turn to us or to” South Korea.
It’s a significant shift for international efforts to rein in North Korea’s nuclear ambitions. China and Russia previously had worked with the U.S., Japan and South Korea to help contain North Korea’s nuclear program, with those nations making up the “six party talks” that ran from 2003 to 2009.
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