Longer Russia-Ukraine war is priced in: CIO and ex-Moscow reporter

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Longer Russia-Ukraine war is priced in: CIO and ex-Moscow reporter
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A veteran investment chief and former Moscow reporter says markets are pricing in at least another year of Russia's war in Ukraine

As Russia's war in Ukraine passes the one-year mark, markets are already pricing in at least another 12 months of conflict, according to Rhys Williams, the chief investment officer of Spouting Rock Asset Management.

"This is an existential war for Putin," he said."It may not be in Russia's interests to continue, but Putin is all in.""I don't think either Russia winning or Ukraine winning is priced in, and I'm not sure which would be worse from a market point of view," Williams said."We can all root for Ukraine, but from a markets standpoint, if Ukraine starts to win that raises the risk of tactical nukes and China getting more involved.

He doesn't expect a steep sell-off in stocks like last year, but instead says equities will be mostly flat as companies are more fairly valued now after 2022's rout. Defense stocks could climb higher amid expectations of a prolonged conflict, Williams noted, and every country will likely increase defense spending in 2023, especially those close to Russia and China.

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