Look out, Gulf Coast residents! You may be hit with the first tropical system of the season

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Look out, Gulf Coast residents! You may be hit with the first tropical system of the season
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The potential tropical system could pose trouble -- or worse -- from the Florida panhandle to southern Louisiana.

It's looking more and more likely that the United States soon could face its first tropical threat in the young 2019 hurricane season.

On Sunday, the National Hurricane Center increased the chance to 50% that a system could develop in the Gulf by the middle of the week. Depending on your computer model of choice, the ensuing system could pose trouble -- or worse -- from the Florida panhandle to southern Louisiana.While it's still too early to tell if this system will get strong enough to be named , more interesting is"how" this could all come about.

— NWS Atlanta July 7, 2019 Read MoreTo get a tropical system, you need warm water, weak steering winds aloft and thunderstorms forming around low pressure. All three ingredients are present.By early in the week, a sagging front, along which nearly daily thunderstorms have been forming in the Southeast US, will end up in the Gulf.Remnants of those storms will help develop a low-pressure system in the very warm waters of Florida's"Big Bend" in the Gulf of Mexico.

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