One poll shows that a 29-year-old YouTuber is leading the field to replace Gavin Newsom, if the recall is successful
Could Kevin Paffrath succeed Gavin Newsom next month as the only Democrat standing? Photo: Meet Kevin/YouTube A survey of California voters published on Monday didn’t have much good news for Golden State Democrats, but it had plenty of bad news and some that was just plain weird. The bad news from Survey USA is that among likely voters in the September 14 recall election, those favoring the eviction of incumbent Governor Gavin Newson lead those opposed by a 51-40 margin.
A lot of people are asking about Paffrath in the wake of the SUSA poll. In 2019, Curbed framed him as a “landlord influencer.” Here’s how the Southern California News Group’s Brooke Staggs describes him: More to the point, Paffrath is the best known of nine self-identified Democrats who defied the state party’s efforts to boycott the replacement ballot . So it’s not that shocking that he snags 27 percent of the replacement vote, ahead of Elder with 23 percent, Cox with 10 percent, Faulconer with five percent, and Caitlyn Jenner with three percent. Five percent are scattered among other candidates, and fully 20 percent are undecided.
The dilemma for Democrats is more complicated. Party leaders would prefer that its voters slam-dunk the recall and then ignore the replacement contest. They remember what happened in 2003 when the replacement candidacy of Democratic Lieutenant Governor Cruz Bustamante was thought to have helped ensure Gray Davis’s recall without boosting Bustamante to the governorship .
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