Investors should be happy with the gains they reaped from a January rally that wasn't justified by fundamentals, according to Lisa Shalett.
Investors should be happy with the gains they reaped from a January stock market rally that wasn't justified by fundamentals, according to Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer, wealth management at Morgan Stanley. "The market is extraordinarily overbought," Shalett said in a phone interview. "We know we broke through some positive technicals. We think a lot of that is being driven by liquidity. But we think folks buying in here are buying into yet another bear market rally.
She sees a central bank able — thanks to reasonably strong economic growth — to keep rates elevated after being forced to hold them artificially low to support a fragile economy. In turn, that will make the S & P 500's valuation near 19 times earnings hard to support because of deteriorating corporate fundamentals. Low rates, in contrast, were supportive of higher valuations. "So the market assumes that's where were going back to.
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