For months, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders dominated the field nationally as well as in most early-state surveys. That started to change in June
Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren making big gains. Photo: Joe Raedle/Getty Images One of the hallmarks of the first stage of the 2020 Democratic nominating contest was the stability at the top of the polls. For months, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders dominated the field nationally as well as in most early-state surveys. Other candidates waxed and waned in support and in their relationship to each other but didn’t really challenge the septuagenarian Big Boys.
Now there is some evidence the first round of Democratic debates have created serious turbulence in the field. A new CNN/SSRS national poll taken entirely after the debates shows both Warren and Kamala Harris running ahead of Sanders with Biden still in the lead but losing altitude . As compared to the last CNN survey a month ago, Biden has lost ten points and Sanders four points, while Harris has gained nine points and Warren eight points. No one else held more than 5 percent of the vote .
According to an analysis of the results from CNN, among African-American voters alone, Biden now leads Harris 36-24, with other candidates trailing well behind. CNN separately asked about debate performances, and the numbers confirmed Kamala Harris’s big night, while casting doubt on the impact of the generally strong impressions made on many observers by Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker, and Julián Castro:
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