Recent population losses hit rural counties harder than L.A. or the Bay Area and highlight ways we can keep residents in the Golden State.
have been in Los Angeles County and the Bay Area’s Santa Clara and Alameda counties. That may seem to fit the common narrative that young families and knowledge economy professionals in major metro areas are fleeing California. But these are also among the state’s most populous counties — in fact, these losses accounted for only about 1% of residents in each county. Fewer people putting pressure on housing, highways and energy might not be a bad thing in L.A. and the Bay Area.
Rather, as is true across the U.S., it’s small communities in California that are being hollowed out as young people leave and older residents pass away. Proportionally, the state’s largest population losses occurred among rural counties in the Sierra and North Coast, including in Lassen, Del Norte, Plumas and Tuolumne. In these places, population loss means staff shortages or long drives for healthcare, shuttered businesses and a sense of being left behind.
One commonality across the state — in rural, urban or suburban areas — is that low and middle-income Californians are. Those who move here tend to have higher incomes and more education, underscoring the state’s affordability challenges. But the age breakdown of California’s population tells a promising story. A big fear about population decline is that with people having fewer children while living longer, there will be fewer income earners to provide financial support and care for older residents. The U.S. faces this prospect: the Congressional Budget Office estimates
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