New York will welcome a red-hot San Diego lineup into the Big Apple Monday night, with Max Scherzer facing off against Yu Darvish. With a better offense and a slow start for Scherzer, Covers_Caley's MLB picks expect an early lead for the Padres.
The Mets opened this National League matchup as -120 home favorites and have seen the early action, moving the line to Mets -135. However, this feels like New York is getting a little too much respect because it's at home and because Max Scherzer is named Max Scherzer.
These are the first signs of regression we are seeing from Scherzer following a campaign where he pitched to a 2.29 ERA. That said, his strikeout rate did drop last year, and it might take him longer to get warmed up in his age-38 season. Trying to warm up against San Diego isn’t going to be the easiest thing in the world.
On top of that, the Mets are 5-2 against the Miami Marlins this season and got swept in their only other matchup against an NL contender in the Milwaukee Brewers. Meanwhile, the Padres are feeling good after taking three straight games from the Atlanta Braves. I think this line should have probably gone the other way. The Padres' somewhat shaky bullpen, which ranks 19th in ERA, gives me a little pause but I would still lean toward San Diego as an underdog in this matchup.
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