Philippine President Duterte says he'll stand up to China – he might not deliver

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Philippine President Duterte says he'll stand up to China – he might not deliver
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Rodrigo Duterte is visiting China for the fifth time since taking office in 2016 — he has not made a single trip to the U.S. as president.

Another deal the Philippine government may want to win relates to a proposed oil and gas exploration project in the disputed waters in the South China Sea, analysts said. The proposed project falls within the Philippine exclusive economic zone that China also claims.

Duterte claimed in 2017 that Xi had threatened war if the Philippines unilaterally drilled for oil in that part of the South China Sea. So, the two presidents last year signed an initial agreement to find ways to conduct joint exploration there. "Duterte's administration appears hopeful that it will secure majority Philippine ownership of the proposed joint venture — or at least a deal that can be presented as such to the domestic audience," said Mumford of Eurasia Group.

Some of those deals "will likely avert a major, immediate threat to Duterte's public support," he added. But, they may "fall far short of what would be required to win over domestic critics of his China pivot."

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